What is a Conceptual Model(CM)?
The
recommended way of synthesizing knowledge is by reference to the
so-called conceptual model. Based on existing literature the following
definition has been derived:
A conceptual model describes essential features of a meteorological phenomenon and
identifies the principal processes taking place.
A complete conceptual model provides a:
- Definition of the phenomenon in terms of features recognizable by observations, analysis or validated simulations;
- Description of its life cycle in terms of appearance, size, intensity and accompanying weather;
- Statement of the controlling physical processes which enables the understanding of the factors that determine the mode and rate of evolution of the phenomenon;
- Specification of the key meteorological fields demonstrating the main processes;
- Guidance for predicted meteorological conditions or situations using the diagnostic and prognostic fields that best discriminate between development or non-development; guidance for predicting displacement and evolution.